Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.058689 0.068335 0.078910 0.091341 0.105532 0.121204 0.139799
2025-02-09 0.041336 0.053326 0.067703 0.086127 0.109014 0.136406 0.171563
2025-02-16 0.031256 0.044193 0.060988 0.084190 0.115180 0.154882 0.209286
2025-02-23 0.023924 0.036789 0.054741 0.081270 0.119048 0.170405 0.244869
2025-03-02 0.018886 0.031372 0.049976 0.079186 0.123220 0.186283 0.282322
2025-03-09 0.015783 0.028113 0.047602 0.079895 0.131073 0.207766 0.329618
2025-03-16 0.012744 0.024296 0.043623 0.077340 0.133366 0.220968 0.365748
2025-03-23 0.011421 0.023098 0.043620 0.081031 0.145741 0.250603 0.429705
2025-03-30 0.009863 0.021150 0.041971 0.081598 0.152861 0.272382 0.483053
2025-04-06 0.008262 0.018791 0.039173 0.079649 0.155269 0.286415 0.524726
2025-04-13 0.007013 0.016877 0.036875 0.078219 0.158283 0.301548 0.569351
2025-04-20 0.006504 0.016429 0.037355 0.082120 0.171458 0.335546 0.649566
2025-04-27 0.005993 0.015905 0.037656 0.085813 0.184869 0.371605 0.737405
2025-05-04 0.005021 0.014107 0.034975 0.083016 0.185259 0.383710 0.782715
2025-05-11 0.004347 0.012886 0.033357 0.082229 0.189567 0.403574 0.844226
2025-05-18 0.003680 0.011532 0.031198 0.079915 0.190372 0.416613 0.893680
2025-05-25 0.003148 0.010412 0.029398 0.078136 0.192059 0.431461 0.947810
2025-06-01 0.002822 0.009803 0.028755 0.078977 0.199579 0.458810 1.029110
2025-06-08 0.002396 0.008785 0.026878 0.076519 0.199287 0.469727 1.077557
2025-06-15 0.002269 0.008676 0.027414 0.080212 0.213733 0.513358 1.197719
2025-06-22 0.002040 0.008176 0.026786 0.080794 0.220791 0.541434 1.286888
2025-06-29 0.001759 0.007425 0.025301 0.078872 0.221493 0.555399 1.346551
2025-07-06 0.001531 0.006800 0.024071 0.077460 0.223285 0.571937 1.413091